Modeling the corrosivity and scaling of drinking water distributed in Morocco using multiple linear regression
			
	
 
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				Laboratory of Materials Engineering and Sustainable Energy, Department of Chemistry, Tétouan Faculty of Science, Abdelmalek Essaâdi University, Av de Sebta, Mhannech II 93002, Tetouan, Morocco
				 
			 
						
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				National Office of Electricity and Drinking Water, 88 Rue de Soudan, 30000, Fez Morocco
				 
			 
										
				
				
		
		 
			
			
		
		
		
		
		
		
	
							
					    		
    			 
    			
    				    					Corresponding author
    					    				    				
    					Imane  Es-smiri   
    					Laboratory of Materials Engineering and Sustainable Energy, Department of Chemistry, Tétouan Faculty of Science, Abdelmalek Essaâdi University, Av de Sebta, Mhannech II 93002, Tetouan, Morocco
    				
 
    			
				 
    			 
    		 		
			
																																 
		
	 
		
 
 
Ecol. Eng. Environ. Technol. 2025; 7:352-364
		
 
 
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ABSTRACT
The present study concentrates on the modeling of water corrosivity and calcocarbonic balance of the drinking water distribution in Fez, Morocco. Utilising a range of linear regression techniques by Statistica 12. The study analyses twelve physicochemical parameters to formulate predictive models for the indices of water corrosivity (Larson and Leroy). A total of 156 water samples were collected from six different points over the duration of six months, and the samples analysed show that the means of the parameters are CAT (4.89±0.39) meq/l, CATs (4.60±0.37) meq/l, TH (5.86±0.71) meq/l, Dissolved oxygen (8.53±0.22) mg/l, Chloride (1.13±0.57) meq/l, Oxidability (1.56±0.71) mg(O2/l), Residual Chlorine (0.59±0.16) meq/l, LSI (0.02±0.15), Conductivity (0.83±0.17) mS/cm, Temperature (17.25±1.02) °C, Turbidity (0.58±0.17) NTU and Sulfate (0.69±0.35) meq/l. The means value of the water indices are Larson index (0.18±0.16) and Leroy index (0.85±0.12). The models achieved good predictive accuracy, with R² values of 92.02% and 98.76%, and a low standard error 0.04 and 0.01 for the Larson and Leroy indices, respectively. The findings underscore the inverse correlation between corrosivity and calco-carbonic balance, emphasizing the significance of maintaining water quality within acceptable standards to prevent corrosion and scaling in water distribution systems. The results of the study provide valuable insights for the management of water quality, particularly in regions exhibiting similar environmental conditions. The aim of this study is to identify the parameters responsible for this phenomena.